Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.211002 0.245096 0.284804 0.334934 0.397192 0.472862 0.573175
2025-03-02 0.159102 0.201342 0.256590 0.336072 0.450859 0.616346 0.884572
2025-03-09 0.128140 0.172158 0.234726 0.334065 0.495942 0.766093 1.294464
2025-03-16 0.106848 0.149977 0.215202 0.326993 0.527942 0.908350 1.794857
2025-03-23 0.095213 0.138918 0.208802 0.337393 0.591541 1.138689 2.686212
2025-03-30 0.083489 0.125319 0.195033 0.330461 0.619013 1.310402 3.638587
2025-04-06 0.076065 0.117317 0.188881 0.335581 0.673129 1.580217 5.320968
2025-04-13 0.068781 0.108375 0.179288 0.331150 0.703805 1.811074 7.350012
2025-04-20 0.063975 0.103027 0.175304 0.337361 0.763669 2.182567 11.196558
2025-04-27 0.060217 0.099011 0.173118 0.346931 0.837441 2.678804 18.200434
2025-05-04 0.056772 0.095106 0.170462 0.354711 0.910565 3.263809 30.590780
2025-05-11 0.053930 0.091978 0.168876 0.364760 0.997068 4.040407 56.544939
2025-05-18 0.050934 0.088282 0.165690 0.370483 1.075406 4.933433 111.641965
2025-05-25 0.048016 0.084434 0.161645 0.373112 1.146227 5.951081 241.593210
2025-06-01 0.045119 0.080321 0.156421 0.371222 1.199858 7.001841 568.978663
2025-06-08 0.042165 0.075800 0.149649 0.363234 1.224497 7.908686 1398.376115
2025-06-15 0.040645 0.074135 0.149391 0.375206 1.350431 10.308054 13521.918065
2025-06-22 0.038208 0.070275 0.143311 0.367262 1.375176 11.681416 223905.958051
2025-06-29 0.036682 0.068255 0.141525 0.373143 1.479216 14.788945 NaN
2025-07-06 0.034774 0.065226 0.136823 0.368057 1.520385 17.219081 NaN
2025-07-13 0.033562 0.063644 0.135645 0.375187 1.643028 22.460821 NaN
2025-07-20 0.032588 0.062513 0.135503 0.386185 1.803982 30.903818 NaN
2025-07-27 0.031592 0.061241 0.134825 0.395135 1.963709 42.618664 NaN